It’s not very comforting when a renowned virologist visits Wuhan and says that “conservatively” things are 10 times bigger than SARS:
“A bigger outbreak is certain,” said Guan Yi, a virologist who helped identify severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003. He estimated – “conservatively,” he said – that this outbreak could be 10 times bigger than the SARS epidemic because that virus was transmitted by only a few “super spreaders” in a more defined part of the country.
“We have passed through the ‘golden period’ for prevention and control,” he told Caixin magazine from self-imposed quarantine after visiting Wuhan. “What’s more, we’ve got the holiday traffic rush and a dereliction of duty from certain officials.”
The rate of transmission (called morbidity) is much higher than SARS but with China hiding the real numbers of deaths, we can’t determine is lethality. SARS killed 9.5% of the people infected which is a huge number, when compared to the typical flu which is usually less than 0.5%
There are pictures and videos on social media of Wuhan 2019-nCoV Wuhan coronavirus victims literally dropping like flies on the pavement.
There could be two reasons for this:
- They are sick and actually passing out.
- Since people are being turned away at the hospitals — an ambulance ride probably guarantees that you get seen by a doctor. So taking a face plant would be the lesser of two evils.